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	<title>Real Estate Investing &#124; Free Investor Training</title>
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	<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com</link>
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		<title>The Easiest Way to Buy Foreclosures</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/the-easiest-way-to-buy-foreclosures/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/the-easiest-way-to-buy-foreclosures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 16:12:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Flipping Real Estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/the-easiest-way-to-buy-foreclosures/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you are looking to by homes at a deep discount, there is no better way to by the home other than foreclosure. Have you been looking for any kind of real estate bargains? Then nothing can better than buying foreclosed property. Foreclosures happens when a property owner or home owner cannot pay the mortgage [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>If you are looking to by homes at a deep discount, there is no better way to by the home other than foreclosure.  Have you been looking for any kind of real estate bargains? Then nothing can better than buying foreclosed property. Foreclosures happens when a property owner or home owner cannot pay the mortgage bill on the property and thereby forced to hand over their owned land to pay back what they had. In the present era, the real estate market has invariably taking turn for the worst part. The market has gone down and the rates are all time high thereby making it quite problematic to invest or buy a home. Buy Foreclosures to enjoy the various kind of benefits.</p>
<p>You get the opportunity to buy foreclosures that are either twenty, thirty or sometimes 40% below the market value. What do you think? Isn&#8217;t saving an ample amount of money a beneficial task? This is highly appreciated and encouraged by both the investors and home buyers. Whatever be it, the investor for real estate should be well educated and knowledgeable about the market and also have the capacity to conduct the researches that are needed.<br />
Related Coverage</p>
<p>    * How To Buy Foreclosures<br />
      Gain access to Foreclosures, Distressed Homes, HUD Government Acquired Properties via the HomesByLender.com Foreclosure search feature.<br />
    * How To Buy Austin Foreclosures<br />
      There are a lot of properties to choose from when you are looking for Austin foreclosures.<br />
    * How To Buy Austin Foreclosures<br />
      There are a lot of properties to choose from when you are looking for Austin foreclosures.<br />
    * How To Buy Dallas Foreclosures<br />
      Distress Sales and Dallas Foreclosures often represent a great way to get a fantastic deal on a home. If you&#8217;re the type of person who recognizes what a great value some of these properties could represent this video will be of interest to you. Learn where to find these Dallas Foreclosed properties &#8211; Free.</p>
<p>There are few steps that will make you learn about the foreclosure procedure. First and foremost before buying the foreclosure homes, you must learn the procedure.</p>
<p>Are you looking for a good and beneficial deal on real estate, then check out the foreclosure sales. Internet plays an important role in making it easier for you to buy the foreclosure houses. Other than moving from one place to another make a hassle-free deal over the Internet. Internet is the best medium for online marketing thereby reaching a wide ranging customers from all corners of the world. Whether you buy foreclosures through HUD or from a bank, you will get a drop down price though it will be a nice home.<br />
Always be careful, as you might come across few foreclosures that are not worth taking as they appear to you.</p>
<p>Foreclosures on a mortgage can take place for many incidents. It may be either because the lender has lost his job or a sudden death of the lender. A lender is responsible for the benefits as well as loss. A lender has a specific knowledge and always take precise steps to ensure that it is properly done. Buying foreclosures can be worth investing for quite a few people but not for every customers. Are you having interest in learning about real estate and make money? Might be you have tried some real estate investments and had little success. However, that is not your fault cause, to gain profit you need some proper guidance and training on Real estate investment and make a difference. You must be thinking that a real estate training involves list of costly real estate investors workshops. However that is not the case. As an investor in real estate you can easily make  a good amount of money.</p>
<p>Article Source: http://business.ezinemark.com/how-to-buy-foreclosures-7d2d89fb7658.html</p>
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		<title>It&apos;s Possible to Buy a Home for a 50 Percent Discount at Auction</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/its-possible-to-buy-a-home-for-a-50-percent-discount-at-auction/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/its-possible-to-buy-a-home-for-a-50-percent-discount-at-auction/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Mar 2011 16:07:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/its-possible-to-buy-a-home-for-a-50-percent-discount-at-auction/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Did you know you can buy a house for half off? Sure, when you go to auctions you can get all sorts of fantastic deals. According to Sarah Davis: Buying a house at auction isn&#8217;t for everyone, but can lead to big savings.You’ve heard the stories and seen the ads. Perhaps you even know somebody [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Did you know you can buy a house for half off?  Sure, when you go to auctions you can get all sorts of fantastic deals.  According to Sarah Davis:</p>
<p>Buying a house at auction isn&#8217;t for everyone, but can lead to big savings.You’ve heard the stories and seen the ads. Perhaps you even know somebody who bought a home for cheap at a foreclosure auction.</p>
<p>Now, you’re thinking about buying a home of your own.</p>
<p>You have CASH from savings or an inheritance.</p>
<p>And you’re tempted by foreclosure auctions (where banks sell foreclosed homes to quickly get rid of them). After all, you see the opportunity to get a lot more houses for a lot less money.</p>
<p>If this sounds like you, let me give you an honest introduction to buying houses at auction.</p>
<p>First, let me be clear: buying a house at an auction IS NOT right for everyone.</p>
<p>You must either have the cash or be willing to take on a risky, high-interest “hard money” loan to buy the property.</p>
<p>You must be careful.</p>
<p>You must know what you’re doing.</p>
<p>And even then, it’s risky.</p>
<p>But if you can pull off buying a house at auction, you can get into a home for as much as 50 percent off list price.</p>
<p>THE FORECLOSURE MARKET</p>
<p>Foreclosures still abound in the U.S. real estate market, although some areas (think Florida and Las Vegas) have way more than others.</p>
<p>ForeclosureRadar, a comprehensive auction-tracking tool for real estate professionals, states that 80 percent of homes that were auctioned in California in February of 2009 were sold at an average of 36.3 percent below listing price and 40 percent of the homes sold at auctions were sold for 50 percent or a greater discount. Yes, that is data from February of 2009, but your chances of getting a killer deal on a home at the auctions are only increasing.</p>
<p>Lender Processing Services (LPS) explains that the number of foreclosures in the United States has steadily risen for five straight months in a row and that the current foreclosure inventory in the United States is about 7.7 times the historical average.</p>
<p>The foreclosed homes are out there, but if you want your chance at a foreclosure deal, you’d best be prepared to spend not only money, but a lot of time preparing…</p>
<p>THE AUCTION EXPERIENCE</p>
<p>The first step in preparing to buy a house at a trustee auction is to go down to the auction and see what the atmosphere is really like. Each county’s auctions are run a little bit differently, and you’ll want to know the ins and outs of the auction in your particular area long before bidding. Pick out one week and go to the auction every morning. If you can’t make it down there because of your work schedule, consider having a friend or relative experience the action and report back to you.</p>
<p>Fair warning: If you have a full-time job (and you aren’t in real estate), it could be challenging to find the necessary time to prepare to bid at a housing auction and do the necessary research.</p>
<p>When you’re at the auction, get a feel for the bidding process and the way that people act. Notice, for example, that most bidders wear sunglasses and keep their hands in their pockets; these tricks help them from showing their emotions whether it be excitement or disappointment.</p>
<p>TRACKING FORECLOSURES</p>
<p>Once you understand the auction process, you’ll want to start tracking foreclosures.</p>
<p>Notice of Trustee Sales or Sheriffs sales are published in a local newspaper weekly for a few weeks before they are sold at auction. But just looking in the newspaper won’t give you the up-to-date information you really need.</p>
<p>Instead, research different foreclosure tracking tools. ForeclosureRadar is one of the best services I’ve found to find pre-foreclosures in your specific criteria such as zip code, age, number of beds and baths, etc. and track them all the way to their auction date. You can even download a ForeclosureRadar application to your phone so that instead of printing out a daily list and bringing it with you to the auction, you can just pull out all the details of the day’s auction on your phone. That said, ForeclosureRadar isn’t free and it’s not available in all 50 states, so you may have to do some research on your own.</p>
<p>DUE DILIGENCE</p>
<p>Next comes the due diligence on the homes that you’re following.</p>
<p>Liens and Lien Positions</p>
<p>Follow the published starting bid on your list (which can change), and look at the position of the lien that is initiating the foreclosure.</p>
<p>NEVER, EVER buy a lien in second position, or any lien that isn’t first position for that matter, unless you know exactly what you’re doing.</p>
<p>If you bought a second position lien at auction, your purchase will still be subordinate to the first position lien, which could foreclose, wiping out the subordinate liens, so all the money you spent would be a waste.</p>
<p>Order a preliminary title report from a title company. Some title companies will charge you for this, and others will provide it for free if they feel they have a good chance of getting your business. Because the auction purchases come with all existing liens and encumbrances, a title search in the form of a preliminary title report will help to identify things like IRS liens or past-due taxes that you, as the new buyer, must pay.</p>
<p>The Condition of the House</p>
<p>Some investors don’t care much about a foreclosed house’s interior appearance, but if you plan on living in it for a while or even fixing and flipping, the inside should concern you at least somewhat.</p>
<p>Getting access to the inside of the home before you bid on it is desirable but not always possible. If you have access to the Multiple Listing Services through a broker or real estate agent, you may be able to pull up pictures from an old listing when the house was for sale. Keep in mind those pictures might be quite different from the current condition of the inside of the house. You may choose to peek in through the windows or “accidently” slip in if it’s vacant, but be aware of the laws and your safety!</p>
<p>Also, do your due diligence on several homes that you’d want to buy and not just one, because it’s likely that the one you have your eye on may either be delayed (and delayed, and delayed) or sell for a higher price than what you’re willing to pay.</p>
<p>THE MONEY</p>
<p>Calculate the maximum bid for each property that you are interested in. Write it down and stick to your maximum bid, not a penny more. It’s easy to get carried away with the emotion of bidding wars, but being willing to let a property go is your safety net.</p>
<p>Many of the online tracking systems have tools for estimating ARV (after repair value), but a more accurate way would be to pull recent comparables and calculate the cost of estimated repairs yourself. A friendly contractor can be very helpful in helping you price out tools and labor of any repairs that you think might need to be done. If your goal is to fix and flip the property, you need to take the ARV and subtract the repair estimates, your holding costs, listing expenses if you’re going to list it with a Realtor and the profit that you want to take as well.</p>
<p>Where are you getting the money?</p>
<p>You didn’t expect to go to a bank and ask them for a mortgage to fund your auction purchase, did you? Due to the risks involved in buying a home at auction, that’s not going to happen.</p>
<p>Every state has slightly different laws about buying houses at auction.</p>
<p>In Arizona, for example, you only need to put an earnest money deposit down at the auction, but you’ll only have a few days to pay in full. In California, you must pay in full at the auction steps. Therefore, you’ll need to bring a cashier’s check of the full amount of your maximum bid with the trustee’s name on it. If you get the property for less than your maximum bid, you’ll receive a refund.</p>
<p>Many people, however, don’t have enough money to pay cash for a house. Instead, they use “hard money”.<br />
Hard money is a term used to describe money borrowed from a private investor. The investor lends you the cash at a high interest rate (typically 12 to 18 percent) and looks forward to you not being able to make the payments back to him so that he can take the property. Hard money can be risky, but if you can afford to make those payments and you think you’ll sell the property fairly quickly, it can work.</p>
<p>If You Want to Live In the Home</p>
<p>It would never be worth it to use hard money to buy a house that you’re going to live in though, since the hard money loans are short-term and high interest.</p>
<p>If you’re wondering if you can save money by buying a foreclosed home to LIVE IN and you DO NOT have a lump sum of cash (from savings or an inheritance, perhaps), auctions aren’t the way to go. Instead, your best bet is to work with a real estate agent and view foreclosures that are on the regular real estate market. You may still find big savings and, depending on the home, may be able to qualify for traditional bank financing. </p>
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		<title>Federal Housing Administration Supports Flipping Houses</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/federal-housing-administration-supports-flipping-houses/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/federal-housing-administration-supports-flipping-houses/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Mar 2011 02:45:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Flipping Real Estate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/federal-housing-administration-supports-flipping-houses/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here&#8217;s a great was to buy up surplus houses and at the same time get support from the federal government&#8230; The Federal Housing Administration is encouraging house flipping to sell some excess inventory from the recession. You probably have an idea of how the practice is done. You buy a house in need of some [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Here&#8217;s a great was to buy up surplus houses and at the same time get support from the federal government&#8230;</p>
<p>The Federal Housing Administration is encouraging house flipping to sell some excess inventory from the recession. You probably have an idea of how the practice is done. You buy a house in need of some work, fix it up, and sell it for a nice profit. But there`s another approach that may benefit more than the original investor.</p>
<p>Buyers are looking for properties that require &#8220;facelifts&#8221;.  Then they hope to buy a house, fix it up, and then rent it out for a year under a rent-to-own contract.</p>
<p>Buying and renting the house for an extended period of time before selling allows the buyer to collect on some tax breaks in addition to turning a profit when she sells the house. But the rent to own contract also benefits the potential buyer, giving them some time to build toward ownership. Experts say it`s also a good opportunity for families in transition.</p>
<p>And if the renter decides not to purchase the house, The owner can simply find new tenants to take over who may.</p>
<p>FHA recently extended a rule that allows investors to buy and flip a house right away instead of having to wait 90 days like in the past. The only catch is they can only make up to a 20 percent profit if they choose to resell immediately.</p>
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		<title>Are Close to Calling the Price of a Home&#8230;Affordable</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/are-close-to-calling-the-price-of-a-home-affordable/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/are-close-to-calling-the-price-of-a-home-affordable/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Mar 2011 02:20:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/?p=28</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home prices are becoming much less expensive. When you compare the payments to the income levels the ratios are possibly the lowest in 20 years. You could say this may be the time to jump in if you have been waiting on the fence. Here&#8217;s an article by Phoebe Chongchua that explains this&#8230; The drum [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>Home prices are becoming much less expensive.  When you compare the payments to the income levels the ratios are possibly the lowest in 20 years.  You could say this may be the time to jump in if you have been waiting on the fence.  Here&#8217;s an article by Phoebe Chongchua that explains this&#8230;</p>
<p>The drum is beating loudly and the tune is “houses are a good deal”. In fact, experts at Mood’s Analytic’s, where income and housing prices are studied, claim houses are more affordable than in decades.</p>
<p>The WSJ reports that, for the first time in 35 years, nationally for the average family, the price of a house basically adds up to the equivalent of 19 months total pay.</p>
<p>Experts are pointing out that housing has dropped so much that the great debate of renting versus owning is clearly leaning toward home ownership.</p>
<p>Timing the real estate market or, for that matter, any market is iffy at best. But when you take a good look at the signs you can see that homebuying is becoming more attractive. Home prices have dropped about 31% from their high in 2006 (based on the S&#038;PCase-Shiller national composite home-price index).</p>
<p>So if you put off buying a home because you were waiting for the best deal, now may be the time to re-launch your search. However, keeping in mind a few homebuying tips will help you navigate through the housing process.</p>
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		<title>Are Canadian Home Prices Ready to Pop</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/are-canadian-home-prices-ready-to-pop/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/are-canadian-home-prices-ready-to-pop/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Mar 2011 02:12:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Brad</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investing Forum]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/?p=27</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It looks like the Canadian RE Market could be headed further south. A report we found from the Canadian News&#8230; The Canadian housing market could be headed for trouble if there is no moderation in prices in the months ahead, the Bank of Montreal says in a new report. Housing prices are currently about 10 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>It looks like the Canadian RE Market could be headed further south.  A report we found from the Canadian News&#8230;</p>
<p>The Canadian housing market could be headed for trouble if there is no moderation in prices in the months ahead, the Bank of Montreal says in a new report.</p>
<p>Housing prices are currently about 10 per cent above what they were before the recession, which was already an all-time record.</p>
<p>The bank says housing prices are rising faster than personal incomes, a worrisome trend which is making the market less stable.</p>
<p>Bank of Montreal economist Sal Guatieri says that a nationwide correction is unlikely, but would be possible if the price-to-income trend doesn&#8217;t change, or if interest rates spike.</p>
<p>At the moment, the risk is not the same in every housing market in Canada, with some provinces seeing more extreme conditions than others.</p>
<p>The most concerning scenario is in Saskatchewan where the price-to-income ratio is 39 per cent above historic norms, followed by Newfoundland at 34 per cent; British Columbia and Manitoba, with each at 31 per cent; and Quebec at 29 per cent above normal levels.</p>
<p>In Canada&#8217;s largest province, Ontario, this same ratio sits only 10 per cent above historic levels, which suggests its housing market may be overvalued, but is not in danger of collapse.</p>
<p>The good news is that the bank expects household incomes to grow faster than housing prices in the future, which would make a major correction unlikely.</p>
<p>The Bank of Montreal says that tougher mortgage rules and higher interest rates should help stabilize housing prices and cool down sales.</p>
<p>The report is the latest warning about rising housing prices and the risks they pose to the Canadian economy.</p>
<p>A February report from Capital Economics warned an existing housing bubble was set to burst, a potential collapse that could be triggered by rising interest rates. The economics consulting firm predicted that housing prices could fall 25-35 per cent over the next three years as interest rates increase. </p>
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		<title>Inflation Could Stimulate House Prices</title>
		<link>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/inflation-could-stimulate-house-prices/</link>
		<comments>http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/inflation-could-stimulate-house-prices/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 05 Mar 2011 02:00:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Investing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.freeinvestortraining.com/?p=24</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I came across an interesting article that identified John Paulson as &#8220;now&#8221; being bullish on the housing market. This is the same guy that pulled the trigger with his hedge fund to short various mortgage back securities over the last few years. The report was written by Eric Fry of &#8220;The Daily Reckoning&#8221;&#8230;Good guys over [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p></p><p>I came across an interesting article that identified John Paulson as &#8220;now&#8221; being bullish on the housing market.  This is the same guy that pulled the trigger with his hedge fund to short various mortgage back securities over the last few years.  The report was written by Eric Fry of &#8220;The Daily Reckoning&#8221;&#8230;Good guys over there&#8230;</p>
<p>Inflation is not the only reason to risk diving back into the housing market, but it may be the best reason.</p>
<p>John Paulson agrees with this logic. Paulson is the hedge fund manager who placed various negative bets on various mortgage-backed securities during 2007 and early 2008. As these securities plummeted in value during the crisis of 2008, Paulson became a multi-billionaire…and a celebrity.</p>
<p>But now that housing has crashed, Paulson likes the other side of this trade. He thinks US houses are a buy. Paulson’s extremely prescient bearish call on housing does not automatically validate his current bullish call, but his opinion probably deserves at least polite consideration.</p>
<p>“Paulson made three big financial calls [late last year] that you need to know about,” The Wall Street Journal’s Brett Arends reported at the time, “First, he said that gold could go to $2,400 an ounce based on the fundamentals – and that momentum could carry it to $4,000 an ounce… Second, he said you should get out of bonds while you can: You’re much better off investing in blue chip stocks with good dividend yields than bonds. And third, he said you should buy a home. Now.”</p>
<p>“If you don’t own a home, buy one,” Paulson said. “If you own one home, buy another one, and if you own two homes buy a third and lend your relatives the money to buy a home.”</p>
<p>Why would the man say such a thing? In a word: inflation. Paulson anticipates resurgent inflation – not the kind that boosts stock prices and turns mutual fund managers into rock stars, but the kind of inflation that causes the prices of every day goods to soar, and turns homeowners into geniuses.</p>
<p>“Paulson sees inflation coming by 2012 or so,” Arends wrote. “The explanation isn’t hard to find… Put simply: We will get inflation because we have to. It doesn’t get any more straightforward than that. We are the most indebted nation in the history of the world… The debt orgy has been everywhere… There is only one plausible route out of this appalling situation. The government needs inflation. The country needs inflation. That will shrink these debts in relation to the economy, asset prices and incomes.”</p>
<p>Accordingly, when Arends wrote a Journal story entitled, “Ten Reasons to Buy a Home,” he did not neglect to include inflation among his “Ten Reasons.” In light of Bernanke’s QEI, QEII and all the QEs-to-be-named-later, Arends’ other nine reasons seem much less compelling.</p>
<p>His Reason #4 for example, is: “It’ll be yours.”</p>
<p>Hmmm… Is that automatically a good thing? In this respect, isn’t a house somewhat like a spouse? “It’ll be yours” may seem like a great thing when you are “closing escrow,” but only time can render the ultimate verdict.</p>
<p>“A big problem with both houses and spouses as investments is that neither can be counted on to deliver a reliable short-term profit,” we remarked in a 2005 column entitled, Houses and Spouses. “Indeed, a short-term commitment to either a house or a spouse can result in a significant loss of capital.”</p>
<p>Arends’ Reason #10, “Sooner or later, the market will clear,” is also a pretty feeble reason to jump into the market. “Sooner or later” is rarely a solid principal upon which to make a timely investment decision.</p>
<p>Nevertheless, Arends does offer some valid reasons to buy a house:</p>
<p>Reason #1: You can get a good deal. Especially if you play hardball. This is a buyer’s market… We’re four to five years into the biggest housing bust in modern history. And prices have come down a long way – about 30% from their peak, according to Standard &#038; Poor’s Case-Shiller Index.</p>
<p>Reason #2: Mortgages are cheap. You can get a 30-year loan for around 4.8%. What’s not to like? These are the lowest rates on record.</p>
<p>In fact, at one point late last year, 30-year mortgage rates actually fell below the 30-year Treasury yield!</p>
<p>Arends continues:</p>
<p>As recently as two years ago, 30-year mortgage rates were about 6.3%. That drop slashes your monthly repayment by a fifth. If inflation picks up, you won’t see these mortgage rates again in your lifetime. And if we get deflation, and rates fall further, you can refi.</p>
<p>Interestingly, when you combine Reason #1 together with Reason #2, an astonishing picture emerges – a picture of generational-low housing affordability.</p>
<p>No question about it; housing is very cheap, even before considering the impact of inflation, which is considerable. The following chart depicts home prices in inflation-adjusted terms. Specifically, it shows the median home price, expressed as a multiple of per capita disposable income. Based on this calculation, home prices are as low as they have been in 40 years.</p>
<p>But for most homebuyers, the price of the home is only one part of the true cost of a home. Mortgage rates matter as much, or more, than the purchase price itself. To illustrate this phenomenon, examine the chart below. It utilizes the actual, historic 30-year mortgage rates – coincident with historic median home prices – to create a picture of real world housing affordability over the last thirty years. Thus, this chart shows the average monthly mortgage payment on the median-priced home, expressed as a percentage of per capita disposable income.</p>
<p>Again, the picture is unequivocal. Home prices are very, very cheap, relative to incomes. But clearly, “cheap” does not preclude “even cheaper.” Home prices could certainly continue sliding. Even if that occurs, however, mortgage rates might continue rising, which would cause the effective price of a home to increase. Furthermore, no one should be buying a home with an eye toward “flipping it” in a few months. The observations in this column testify to the long-term potential of housing, based on the prevailing depressed prices – not to the short-term potential.</p>
<p>The long-term investment performance of housing relies principally on two inputs – purchase price and inflation rates. Obviously, buying residential real estate at both a housing market low and an inflationary low would be the optimal entry point. And that’s exactly what today’s circumstances seem to be offering.</p>
<p>Inflation is usually very kind to residential real estate, as the chart above illustrates. The top half of the chart displays the inflation-adjusted performance of median home prices, compared to the S&#038;P 500 Index during the hugely inflationary 1970s. Housing trounced stocks during that timeframe.</p>
<p>But once Paul Volcker took the reins at the Federal Reserve and quashed inflation, housing languished relative to stocks. Incredibly, after adjusting for the effects of inflation, home prices have barely budged since 1979!</p>
<p>But even if the housing market does not rebound on cue and even if inflation does not revive for a year or two, the housing market has probably become cheap enough to offer an exceptional hedge against inflation.</p>
<p>Even forgetting inflation, housing is very cheap. Remembering it, housing is cheaper still.</p>
<p>Regards,</p>
<p>Eric J. Fry<br />
for The Daily Reckoning</p>
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